Analytics in Football - Official Thread

[Philby]

So, if Kenny picks Mahon Kev in goal and big Dunc Ferguson of Brighton up front, we'll win Euro 2024.

Pretty much. As long as he plays at least 9+ guys in between them.

 

[Philby]

This is a great piece of work, which they update on the fly.

The Best Football Teams in the World: Opta Power Rankings

Who are the best teams in world football? A question that’s often asked, but one that isn’t always easy to answer – not for any longer.

theanalyst.com

How it's constructed. It's based on the results of 2.5m games since 1990

Introducing Power Rankings: Your Club Ranked | The Analyst

Introducing Power Rankings, the new way to tell which club is actually “by far the greatest team the world has ever seen”.

theanalyst.com

Some notable rankings

Shamrock Rovers - 299th place (highest placed Irish side)
Cork City - 1,979th place
Dulka Prague - 2,250th place
Cobh Ramblers - 6,732nd place

 

[Philby]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1623040994856865795

If ever a graphic illustrated the gulf between Casemiro & McTominay...

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

Hmm...my spreadsheet says Leeds are due an upturn in goalscoring, plus Casemiro is missing. Odds already reflect this though, I would say.

 

[Philby]

Hmm...my spreadsheet says Leeds are due an upturn in goalscoring, plus Casemiro is missing. Odds already reflect this though, I would say.

Plus the intangible co-caretaker manager boost

My guess is backing the draw in both games will yield a profit.

Leeds will be blunt without Rodrigo, but will dig in across the two games and may get some little bit of joy.

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

The "Playing Time" Table on the link below looks to be a source for an individual's affect on their team's actual and expected goals.

It's hard to put a huge amount of stock in this though, especially just after a transfer window. Sabitzer may or may not soften the blow compared to what McTominay would have.

Casemiro Stats, Goals, Records, Assists, Cups and more | FBref.com

Check out the latest domestic and international stats, match logs, goals, height, weight and more for Casemiro playing for Real Madrid CF, Brazil men's national team and Manchester United FC in the La Liga, Champions League and World Cup

fbref.com

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

I'd imagine the downturn on Leeds' price from 8.2 to 6.0 came when Casemiro got sent off the other day, then came the levelling off. Might be worth considering Leeds if the price is much above 7.0

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1623040994856865795

If ever a graphic illustrated the gulf between Casemiro & McTominay...

Away Men against Home Boys according to the above!

I got on at 7.2 anyway.

Shove yer draws up yer bollocks!

 

[Philby]

My guess is backing the draw in both games will yield a profit.


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You'd be sitting on a (theoretical) profit already.

Wish I followed my own advice. Instead I backed under 2.75 goals @ evens and was a Fred yellow card short on a 63/1 acca

 

[Donald Trump]

You'd be sitting on a (theoretical) profit already.

Wish I followed my own advice. Instead I backed under 2.75 goals @ evens and was a Fred yellow card short on a 63/1 acca

Ouch.

Did you back with 2 up Cloudy?