Some recap from one of the specialists I follow:
Ladies and Gentlemen, for the time being we actually have 2 days of activities of the Ukrainian side in 6 different directions. Currently, the main direction is Tokmak. This is what it looks like for TODAY. Tomorrow may be different. After the analysis of further materials, it can be seen that the second main direction may be Bilmak (attack from two sides, i.e. Velyk Novosilek and covering the wing from the western approaches to Wuhledar). It makes operational sense.
Auxiliary attacks based on knowledge from now include Vasilivka, Volnovakha, Bakhmut and Belgorod region. The UA losses we see are almost symbolic compared to the forces they gathered in a belt of about 400 kilometers.
There may be even 250,000 to 300,000 UA soldiers at the front and in reserve, and tens of thousands of various vehicles, guns, tanks, boats, mock-ups, etc. Currently, they have lost maybe a battalion in gusts, according to photos and videos, mainly MRAPs. Objectively speaking - despite the deaths of soldiers - it is not bad, which does not mean that it is ok.
Kiev counted on losses attacking towards the Sea of Azov. If the main attacks go ahead, these losses can be counted in thousands of dead and hundreds of pieces of equipment of various types. However, this does not change the fact that there is a chance that tens of thousands of soldiers and thousands of vehicles will pass and move south. Saying that UA is failing or failing is, to put it mildly, idiotic.
There is no clear success so far. Fighting continues and may go on for several more days without major changes in the front line. Breaking the front can take a long time.
It is comforting that the RUS are rushing to gather reserves from the Kherson region. There were units of not very high value, which may mean that RUS have some problem that we don't know about yet.
From my experience and knowledge, I also know that there has been no major UA hit yet. We will find out about it later, but we will definitely notice it.
What's more, for the time being, several UA battalions are active - a maximum of 6 do 8 pieces per 400 kilometers of the front, where there are elements from about 35-40 brigades of various types on the front and in the reserve.
The current actions of the UA will lead in the coming days to the fact that the RUS reserves will be launched, and thus their logistics, communications and command posts. This will be good for the UA as many of these forces will come out of hiding and reveal themselves. They will become the target of missile attacks, using drones, special forces and cruise missiles.
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And so e random cover from unknown unrelated magazine:
