the official betting thread.

[Donald Trump]

20 Years of Masters Data: What Does a Winner Look Like?

We've mined 20 years of Masters data to identify trends and used previous outcomes to calculate the likely profile of the 2023 winner.

www.casino.org

 

[Philby]

I wouldn't mind having the skills to pull this together so easily.

There's a huge amount of useful resources out there which can be cobbled together to do some handy stuff - and once it's coded & proven it's pretty much one-click to get fresh snapshot views.

That said, there'd be a bit of a learning curve alright for anyone who hasn't had any programming experience. Mine was for a limited time and quite a few years ago, but the core concepts stick & are handy in dealing with error-fixing & adapting existing chunks of code.

A suggestion from me (though you may already be doing it) would be to also have these tables for the last 10 matches/20 matches/full season worth of matches, so that you can see a bigger picture of what's happening.

Things that are happening in the last 3-5 games could just be a correction to things that were going on before that, and could be just as likely to continue for a while rather than regress.

A good point. I've added that in below and made some tweaks to make it more readable.

It's interesting to contrast the trends of Leicester, Leeds, Fulham & Forest here - who each have quite different profiles.

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

There's a huge amount of useful resources out there which can be cobbled together to do some handy stuff - and once it's coded & proven it's pretty much one-click to get fresh snapshot views.

That said, there'd be a bit of a learning curve alright for anyone who hasn't had any programming experience. Mine was for a limited time and quite a few years ago, but the core concepts stick & are handy in dealing with error-fixing & adapting existing chunks of code.



A good point. I've added that in below and made some tweaks to make it more readable.

It's interesting to contrast the trends of Leicester, Leeds, Fulham & Forest here - who each have quite different profiles.

Fulham are the perfect example here. You'd expect them to underperform for a while. Not saying they definitely will or anything but you wouldn't want to be putting too much faith in them either.

 

[Philby]

Yep, adding the 10/20 game view helps you see the big picture alright. Cheers for the suggestion.

I've whacked together this xG over/underperformance-influenced DNB treble for the weekend for a bit of interest in the European leagues.

 

[Donald Trump]

Yep, adding the 10/20 game view helps you see the big picture alright. Cheers for the suggestion.

I've whacked together this xG over/underperformance-influenced DNB treble for the weekend for a bit of interest in the European leagues.

View attachment 20002

I had 5 big ones on that.

For the craic. (You'll pay me back if it loses, right?).

 

[Philby]

I had 5 big ones on that.

For the craic. (You'll pay me back if it loses, right?).

Sure bud. I'll take it from the £10 you refunded me for Mbappe's no-show on Monday ?

 

[Donald Trump]

I love darts and I love betting on darts. But most weeks I don't bother betting on the Premier League. The once a week format can make it difficult to gauge form, the short format and the strength in depth in the player pool makes it an unfathomable puzzle at times.

Right now Gerwyn Price is the most in form player in the world. Of the 8 in the PL, Peter Wright is in the worst form. The new format is basically a mini tournament and they play in the QF tonight. Not betting on the match, but Peter Wright at 14/1 to win the night is fucking insulting to one of the finest darts players to ever walk the oche.

Now I could look silly when he loses 6-0, but hey ho, got go with your gut sometimes.

 

[Luckter Smatzen]

Endless rubbish from the 3 sisters. Players win/lose you games. Not stats.

Football is a simple game.

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

Anybody seen that Dmail fella recently?

He must have forgotten his Kenny Loggins.

I wonder did he ever get treatment for the problem gambling, chasing up a few losing bets of 50 & 150 with a 2k punt on West Ham.

 

[Donald Trump]

Anybody seen that Dmail fella recently?

He must have forgotten his Kenny Loggins.

I wonder did he ever get treatment for the problem gambling, chasing up a few losing bets of 50 & 150 with a 2k punt on West Ham.

Hi Sister, you go girl.

Anyway, enough about him. I have stats to be tudying for the weekends football. Imagine if we used past performances to find value in the betting world. Never catch on, would it? The bookies would eat them, surely?