the official betting thread.

[Philby]

Really 1 down at HT. Dutching 1-2 (7.0) and 1-3 (19.5).

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Johnny Clayton 51.0
Cameron Menzies 67.0
James wade 81.0
And especially Brenden Dolan (200/1 in places) more generally 150/1 are all overpriced for the WGP Darts imho.

If you want someone nearer the top of the market, MVG at 6/1 and Gary Anderson at 12/1 are always capable.

If you want the winner back the two Lukes. One of them will probably win.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

https://sharpbetting.co.uk/

Excellent racecards for what seems to be a free site. I'd imagine they'll go subscription eventually, as the detail there simply has to involve a fair amount of work, but for now.....

Btw lads if ye ever come across some articles about predicting run styles of horses, please do link me up. If it's on Geegees I've probably read it, but there's sure to be some elsewhere.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Anyone else being bomb mailed with free bets for American football the last few weeks?

A sport that the betting company's could easily see I have no interest in (I might have a bet on the superbowl some years, and that's by no means certain either)

Responsible gambling my hole.

Forgive the after timing, but had a nice little winner on the American Handball yesterday. Paddy offering an in shop special on D'Andre Forgethissurname to score a TD in the Jaguar Bears game at 2/1.


Yes, I'm an enormous hypocrite when it comes to value bets

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1845132478828155188

Long tweet about the big race Saturday. First past the post was Alphonse Le Grande at 33s, but a few hours later he was suspended because his jockey, had used the whip ten times instead of six. Thing is, because a few hours had passed, punters who had backed the new winner Manxman, didn't get paid because of bookie rules stating that amendments after the weigh in don't count for betting purposes (the tweet is more critical of the BHA for the shambles than bookies, and rightfully so)._ But it's a complete fucking mess.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

The Death of Bookmaking | Cutting Comment

How the PR Puppets Have Rigged Racing and Sucked the Joy Out of Winning

cuttingcomment.com

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

The Death of Bookmaking | Cutting Comment

How the PR Puppets Have Rigged Racing and Sucked the Joy Out of Winning

cuttingcomment.com

Bit of an element of yawn to that. I very rarely bet Horse Racing anymore but it's still a game of wits, only that nowadays it's a game of how to keep your accounts alive. If you have an edge, offset it with mug punts that might trick the algo.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Bit of an element of yawn to that. I very rarely bet Horse Racing anymore but it's still a game of wits, only that nowadays it's a game of how to keep your accounts alive. If you have an edge, offset it with mug punts that might trick the algo.

I think he had a point tbh. The likes of Victor Chandler and the others he mentioned were well able to take on the big punters.

That's gone. Anyone not know to be a complete mug trying to have a few hundred quid on a horse nowadays is likely to be well watched no?

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

I think he had a point tbh. The likes of Victor Chandler and the others he mentioned were well able to take on the big punters.

That's gone. Anyone not know to be a complete mug trying to have a few hundred quid on a horse nowadays is likely to be well watched no?

We've known that old fashioned bookmaking is dead for years now. That's a result of the industry behaving like the wild west in the early years of the online sector, followed by the regulations that were introduced to combat that. The Tony10s were allowed to run free and now we see the flip side where the regulators will impose massive fines on any operator not complying with protecting their customers from problem gambling or allowing them to even appear to be laundering money.

The bookmaker now wants a steady stream of people that can afford to lose a portion of their income that won't send them to the poor house, and that seems a sustainable model, in fairness. As long as we have young men coming of age with disposable income, we'll have a demand for gambling.

In terms of the sharps, they need to have numerous accounts, including a couple of exchange accounts. Spread the risk, throw in some mug punts with the Padraigs and Denises of this world, then hedge them off on the exchanges for a small loss. Have a few 50c 15-fold accums from time to time. That ought to keep the algos guessing. Oh, and be tidy with your finances in case there is that dreaded request for extra docs.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

In terms of the sharps, they need to have numerous accounts, including a couple of exchange accounts. Spread the risk, throw in some mug punts with the Padraigs and Denises of this world, then hedge them off on the exchanges for a small loss. Have a few 50c 15-fold accums from time to time. That ought to keep the algos guessing. Oh, and be tidy with your finances in case there is that dreaded request for extra docs.

Would ya think spending a few pence on the casinos helps at all?