the official betting thread.

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Bet 2

1 pt EW, 3.05 Donc, Roach Power @9.5, 4 places Coral, Best Odds Gauranteed

Bal 196

Bet 3

1 pt EW, 4.45 Pontefract, Do I Dream, 5/1 Denise BOG 4 places

Bal 194

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Son SOT 2.25/5/4 for a SOT in paddy's shop.

 

[Philby]

Son SOT 2.25/5/4 for a SOT in paddy's shop.

Great price. My model makes him a 1.42 shot.

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

I've gone full Billy and backed Forest 0 on the Asian Handicap at 1.99.

I can't abide these Fulham fuckers being close to favouritism away to a team that isn't Sheffield United.

 

[J.R.R. hartley]

Son SOT 2.25/5/4 for a SOT in paddy's shop.

Went with 2 @ 11/2. Seems a mad price to me.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Went with 2 @ 11/2. Seems a mad price to me.

That does seem excessive alright? Special?

 

[J.R.R. hartley]

That does seem excessive alright? Special?

Nah, normal bet.
Turned out it wasn't that mad a price in the end. He was shit.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Nah, normal bet.
Turned out it wasn't that mad a price in the end. He was shit.

A good bet is still a good bet even if it loses, and vice versa for a bad bet.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Had ten euro on Newcastle to score first with Matchbook last night, it was an enhanced special.

Thing is I paid 0.46 commission, 5%. Anyone know if this is standard on their specials?

 

[Philby]

A good bet is still a good bet even if it loses, and vice versa for a bad bet.

Agree. At 1.42 (fair value) for 1+ shot on target I made him a 2.93 (fair value) shot for 2+ shots on target. Which is still odds against.

When I ran my model the best available price online was 2.62 - so the 6.5 (11/2) PP in-shop offer is a huge price & well worth the bet.