the official betting thread.

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

Actually, I think I'm getting you now.

You want to know how much the success/failure of your betting system(s) are down to variance, is it??

I found this with a simple google: https://winnerodds.com/valuebetting...rlo-simulation-calculator-for-sports-betting/

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

Jesus Christ, like...

'Worst cash out of all time' as punter misses out on £800,000 with early move

Ethan Conway, 24, was 'over the moon' to win £5,000 – until he realised minutes later he could've got £800,000

www.walesonline.co.uk

 

[TheOutdoorThreadmill]

The bookies must think the EPL are going to do some thing to Citeh
Relegation odds

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Actually, I think I'm getting you now.

You want to know how much the success/failure of your betting system(s) are down to variance, is it??

That's it. Much better use of words than long ass winded version

I found this with a simple google: https://winnerodds.com/valuebetting...rlo-simulation-calculator-for-sports-betting/

Yeah, came across that yesterday, but was looking for a simpler one! I'll try that though.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Darts premier league semi finals and final tonight

Littler v Smith
Humphries V MVG

MVG, Smith to win double is 8.9 with AK Bets. I wouldn't be going crazy or anything, but worth a small bet imo.

If this was the 2023 semi final and MVG and Smith were in them, you'd have been lucky to get 2/1, 9/4 no matter who they were playing I'd say.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Bet 18

1 pt EW

2.40 Newmarket, Quinnalt @ 9.0 Quinnbet paying 4 places

Bal 181.05

Bet 19

1 pt ew, 3.40 Curragh, Hateem @ 7.0 Boyles

Bal 179.05

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Paddy not paying out on a 2-0 anymore.
T*ats

You sure about this?

They're still offering two prices on the FA cup final today. 1.25 on city to win, which I'm assuming is the 2 up price, and 1.3 enhanced odds which is usually the just 1X2, no specials.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

Specials so far.

2/1 Both teams to score, Boyles (shop only I think, but massive value )
Foden SOT 2.0, paddy in shop again. Usually wary of these types of player bet, but surely Foden is nailed on to start?
Paddy, do one €5 bet builder, get another free
Betfair Sportsbook, Bruno to commit one foul, and to be fouled 2/1 (instinct tells me this value, but I'm not certain)

Betfred are top price on City guaranteed. So while most bookies are going 1.3, Fred is going 1.33.

BE. STILL. MY. BEATING. HEART.

 

[J.R.R. hartley]

You sure about this?

They're still offering two prices on the FA cup final today. 1.25 on city to win, which I'm assuming is the 2 up price, and 1.3 enhanced odds which is usually the just 1X2, no specials.

View attachment 33169

They didn't during the Europa final.
I asked next day and they said they stopped doing it in March.
Well some lad tapping at buttons did.

 

[Nollaig O Muracu]

They didn't during the Europa final.
I asked next day and they said they stopped doing it in March.
Well some lad tapping at buttons did.

That's weird.