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  #91  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:04 PM
jams jams is online now
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Corcaigh32 View Post
If they hit 25+ % they'll take the 4th seat.
Is that SF or FF get the 4th seat if they hit 25%?

You think FF could 2 seats on 25% in a 4 seater you're barking mad.

A quota is 20% + 1vote.
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  #92  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:06 PM
Roxetten Roxetten is offline
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Originally Posted by Meridian View Post
I wonder about SF, just considering the uproar about water metering in council estates.
With such estates in Mahon, Ballyphehane and Togher. Then of course there is the traditional republican thing in Passage West so I would not write off SF to quickly if your number crunching is correct.
SF were all over the water protests in Togher and Ballyphehane last September alright.
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  #93  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:07 PM
Corcaigh32 Corcaigh32 is offline
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No read it again. If SF hit 25% nationally they'll take the 4th seat.
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  #94  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:08 PM
Corcaigh32 Corcaigh32 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jams View Post
Is that SF or FF get the 4th seat if they hit 25%?

You think FF could 2 seats on 25% in a 4 seater you're barking mad.

A quota is 20% + 1vote.
Read what I posted about MM and McGrath
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  #95  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:11 PM
jams jams is online now
 
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I'm trying to, but I'm lost.

Why would SF need 25% of the vote to get a seat?


If it is SF you're talking about?
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  #96  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:13 PM
CORKBHOY CORKBHOY is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jams View Post
I'm trying to, but I'm lost.

Why would SF need 25% of the vote to get a seat?


If it is SF you're talking about?
Because they are not transfer friendly.
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  #97  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:17 PM
jams jams is online now
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CORKBHOY View Post
Because they are not transfer friendly.
But in a 4 seat constituency 20% + 1 vote gets you a seat.

Why should they need 25%?

Unless they're running more than 1 candidate and don't transfer to one another.
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  #98  
Old 17-01-2016, 11:20 PM
CORKBHOY CORKBHOY is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jams View Post
But in a 4 seat constituency 20% + 1 vote gets you a seat.

Why should they need 25%?

Unless they're running more than 1 candidate and don't transfer to one another.
Over to you, Corcaigh32.
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  #99  
Old 18-01-2016, 12:32 AM
rebelicecreamman rebelicecreamman is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Corcaigh32 View Post
No read it again. If SF hit 25% nationally they'll take the 4th seat.
.
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  #100  
Old 18-01-2016, 04:11 AM
Down da Castle Down da Castle is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Corcaigh32 View Post
Current FF percentage is 19 or 20 depending on whether you believe them that's at best late 20s early 30s seats. Bear in mind that people will be voting for a government. Those numbers make an FF FG government the only way FF get into government. That would be FG giving FF a life support system. It would taint the FG holier than thou self image and give credibility to the notion they can do business because they've always been 2 sides of the one coin. This after telling the people for 6 weeks what a demon MM is. Therefore that coalition will not happen. The party memberships won't allow it anyway.

So, there's no way FF are in government. People walking into the polls are not looking to kick the government for Irish Water. They're electing a government. So they'll be little or no transfers unless a candidate has a personal vote and persona which allows it, eg McGrath.

So assume MM finishes 3rd or 4th in the first count. Where is he getting his seat. Meanwhile McGrath is picking up transfers in small amounts from every eliminated candidate. I'm telling you it will be carnage and it will be down to the wire which one is reelected. No way MM walks it.
People walking into the polls are generally voting for Billy,Mick, Teresa who promised them a new toilet for the community center or an extra few bob to fix the pothole outside the shopping center.
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