What do you think the makeup of the next government will be? 2024 Edition

[TheOutdoorThreadmill]

I'm hoping William O Leary will get the 4th seat in my constituency, Cork East. Although the nut job John O Leary on the ballot will cost William votes. John O Leary from Kerry Pike is standing in 11 constituencies. I wonder who got him to stand in East Cork. Probably one of those competing for the 4th seat. I smell a rat here.

I hope the skull duggery will come out in the wash

Did you ring Neil about it?

 

[PROCNA2018]

Is he really running in 11 constituencies?
How is that possible?

 

[knockfiarna]

Is he really running in 11 constituencies?
How is that possible?

No laws against it.
You must be an Irish citizen and 21 years of age or older.

You either must be
1:affiliated To a party.
Or
2: have a declaration from 30 constituents where u want to run.
Or
3:deposit of 500euro

In a four seater for instance the quota is 4+1 so 20% of the vote.
You then have to reach a 1/4 of that ie 5% to retain your deposit ,that's my understanding anyway .

 

[PROCNA2018]

No laws against it.
You must be an Irish citizen and 21 years of age or older.

You either must be
1:affiliated To a party.
Or
2: have a declaration from 30 constituents where u want to run.
Or
3:deposit of 500euro

In a four seater for instance the quota is 4+1 so 20% of the vote.
You then have to reach a 1/4 of that ie 5% to retain your deposit ,that's my understanding anyway .

How is there no law against it? Yea run in 11 different constituencies in 11 different elections and carpetbag your way around but if elected in 2 constituencies in the same election, unlikely as it is, he can't possibly be a TD in 2 constituencies .

Not doubting you and accept what you're saying but that's madness

 

[Barry K O Bama]

Is he really running in 11 constituencies?
How is that possible?

A guy canvassing told me was running in 11 constituencies.

It turns out he's running in 7 this time.

Ran in 11 constituencies in 2020



Sorry about the misinformation.

I believe that he's standing in East Cork to take votes from William O Leary.

Draw your conclusions

It's disgraceful conduct. An attack against democracy IMO.

That scum bag should be brought to account

 

[PROCNA2018]

Last time out

FF 38, SF 37, FG 35.

As of now with 12 seats left to fill

FF 43, SF 36, FG 36

Labour to get a couple
FF to get 4
FG to get 2/3
SF to get 3 maybe

Would MM demand sole Taoiseach if the gap is 8 or 9 seats? They'd be short maybe 2 or 3, with Lowry, McGrath, the Healy Raes, the road haulage woman and Independent Ireland? That'd be 9.
Or go with Labour or Soc Dems who'll have 11/12?

 

[fed up]

Last time out

FF 38, SF 37, FG 35.

As of now with 12 seats left to fill

FF 43, SF 36, FG 36

Labour to get a couple
FF to get 4
FG to get 2/3
SF to get 3 maybe

Would MM demand sole Taoiseach if the gap is 8 or 9 seats? They'd be short maybe 2 or 3, with Lowry, McGrath, the Healy Raes, the road haulage woman and Independent Ireland? That'd be 9.
Or go with Labour or Soc Dems who'll have 11/12?

Bertie insinuated yesterday that could be the case.. Difficult talks ahead with FG on the subject I imagine.

 

[Barry K O Bama]

Last time out

FF 38, SF 37, FG 35.

As of now with 12 seats left to fill

FF 43, SF 36, FG 36

Labour to get a couple
FF to get 4
FG to get 2/3
SF to get 3 maybe

Would MM demand sole Taoiseach if the gap is 8 or 9 seats? They'd be short maybe 2 or 3, with Lowry, McGrath, the Healy Raes, the road haulage woman and Independent Ireland? That'd be 9.
Or go with Labour or Soc Dems who'll have 11/12?

I'm guessing that FF/FG will be tactical here. It makes sense to play different groups of each other to reduce demands.

Some RTE Panellists suggested that FF/FG would not see Soc Dems as a reliable coalition partner (inexperienced and flaky ?) They are a rising force now and it would be useful to be able to label them as 'hurlers on the ditch' in the next election - I'd engage with the Soc Dems, then break off talks, stating that their demands were unrealistic/unreasonable.

 

[PROCNA2018]

I'm guessing that FF/FG will be tactical here. It makes sense to play different groups of each other to reduce demands.

Some RTE Panellists suggested that FF/FG would not see Soc Dems as a reliable coalition partner (inexperienced and flaky ?) They are a rising force now and it would be useful to be able to label them as 'hurlers on the ditch' in the next election - I'd engage with the Soc Dems, then break off talks, stating that their demands were unrealistic/unreasonable.

I would prefer the Indies and Independent Ireland.
Bacik will insist on God knows what.
Soc Dems, I just can't warm to them.

 

[Meridian]

I would prefer the Indies and Independent Ireland.
Bacik will insist on God knows what.
Soc Dems, I just can't warm to them.

I agree, the Greens had it so that the tail was wagging the dog.
The electorate have spoken it seems to me it's the same but with like minded independents.