Looking at the Serie A top scorer market and was surprised to see Chiesa @ 150/1.
Prior to his injury he put in a couple of strong seasons (~10 goals in 34 appearances in 2 seasons back-to-back) and looked capable of pushing on further...as well as playing a few more minutes.
Juve's squad is light on attacking quality, so if he hits the ground running he'll get plenty of game time.
I appreciate that last season's half season was underwhelming, but that was more about just getting back to match fitness. Also Allegri's style isn't conducive to high scorers.
But I still thought the price was big. More from an each-way perspective (the place part would give you a 37.5/1 shot of him finishing in the top 3).
What do you reckon?
On the Serie A market in general - tough one to call. No value in Osimhen's price, I despise Lautari.
3 that looked value from a stats/odds perspective are likely at the AFCON (El Bilal Toure, Dia & Nzola) and I'm unsure how much to downgrade them on that basis.
For now I've landed on these 3 as value bets from an e/w perspective.
Beto @ 40/1
Giroud @ 28/1
Leao @ 14/1
You can despise Lautaro all you want, the guy has elite actual and expected numbers playing in Serie A for Inter.
Moise Kean has to come into the reckoning if he's going to play. Big IF, I know.
Vlahovic's non-penalty expected numbers were shite last season.
Chiesa was a solid shout alright.
Dunno what you saw in Beto though.