The next Government

[TheOutdoorThreadmill]

The proof will be in the pudding. Not buying the numbers myself...but carry on.

Yes, that you are a spoofer

None of them predicted SFs surge in the last election either.none of them
.

 

[Stacky]

The proof will be in the pudding. Not buying the numbers myself...but carry on.

You complained that there were no polls back in 2020 predicting a S.F. surge even though there were many polls predicting that exact thing.

Now you do not believe all the current and recent polls predicting a consistent fall in support for S.F. while even ignoring the recent local and Euro elections.

You can ignore polls all you want but the reality is there for all to see.

You really have no idea what you are even on about.

 

[Rebel CNC]

Fianna Fail just as big a loser in the most recent polls.

12 years in charge and Me haul has led them back to post crash irrelevance.

Varadkar stepping down huge for FG. Only thing Harris has going for him is he's not Leo.
MM personally is popular with electorate but that's not transferring to FF. Any pro government bounce that was going their way now going to FG under SH.

 

[TheOutdoorThreadmill]

Fianna Fail just as big a loser in the most recent polls.

12 years in charge and Me haul has led them back to post crash irrelevance.

FF have a fall back though, in willing coalition partners. SF don't, the other parties see them as toxic

 

[Meridian]

Varadkar stepping down huge for FG. Only thing Harris has going for him is he's not Leo.
MM personally is popular with electorate but that's not transferring to FF. Any pro government bounce that was going their way now going to FG under SH.

There is something going to happen in the next GE that never or very rarely happened before, people will transfer between FG and FF and vice versa.
That is something I believe is not being considered in any of the polling.
The vast majority of voters do not want SF /IRA in Government and will vote accordingly.

 

[Rebel CNC]

You complained that there were no polls back in 2020 predicting a S.F. surge even though there were many polls predicting that exact thing.

Now you do not believe all the current and recent polls predicting a consistent fall in support for S.F. while even ignoring the recent local and Euro elections.

You can ignore polls all you want but the reality is there for all to see.

You really have no idea what you are even on about.

That may be SF's biggest worry from the polling trends. Polls showing them up around 20%-23% before and after elections but on polling day itself, they barely achieved 12%.

 

[Stacky]

Varadkar stepping down huge for FG. Only thing Harris has going for him is he's not Leo.
MM personally is popular with electorate but that's not transferring to FF. Any pro government bounce that was going their way now going to FG under SH.

MM was an excellent Taoiseach and he is very personable and a popular experienced leader.

Simon Harris has not said a whole lot (I could be wrong) while Leo just said too much and was prone to gaffs in public.

 

[Stacky]

That may be SF's biggest worry from the polling trends. Polls showing them up around 20%-23% before and after elections but on polling day itself, they barely achieved 12%.

That is true but surely they will do a bit better than all the polls suggest?

 

[Rebel CNC]

That is true but surely they will do a bit better than all the polls suggest?

I would think so - will be higher turnout in ge than in locals and higher turnout should suit opposition.
Older voters (who still tend to be FF/FG) more diligent in exercising their right to vote in all elections whereas younger voters more likely to skip local or euros but will come out for GE or a cause (repeal the 8th, etc).

 

[Meridian]

I would think so - will be higher turnout in ge than in locals and higher turnout should suit opposition.
Older voters (who still tend to be FF/FG) more diligent in exercising their right to vote in all elections whereas younger voters more likely to skip local or euros but will come out for GE or a cause (repeal the 8th, etc).

Also consider SF/IRA's largest fan base, those that live in sink hole / council estates etc, do not go out as much as others to cast their votes.