Russia's unjustifiable war of aggression in Ukraine

Something thicker must have happened because there is a whole series of sharp moves in 2-3 days. The B-52 raid, the Reaper, the U.S. today approved the sale of a nuclear-powered submarine to Australia (an unprecedented situation and a strong shot in the snout for China), suddenly planes for Ukraine seem to have materialized after a long period of silence.

As if I had to speculate, China and Russia got along (or almost got along) on something uncool, but it could also be about something else.
Speaking of China, what's going on over there, over the last few months and apparently after their excessive Covid shut downs, a whole lot of Western companies that had facilities in China have moved to other countries such as Malaysia etc.
Now the massive container ports over there are full up with empty shipping containers and workers are only working 2/3 days a week.
 
It's interesting to watch the Putin apologists zig zag about NATO. They seem to think that NATO is a plot to invade Russia and nothing else. They think that the war in Ukraine was a NATO plot against Russia. Russia claims this, of course, because part of the "rebuild the Soviet Union" thing is the reestablishment of the Cold War and the creation of an enemy.

This is coupled with the claim that NATO is weak (shades of Trump!), that the West is unwarlike and unprepared (except when operating in Third World countries), that the US is "deindustrialized" (which makes on wonder what it is spending its massive military budget on). It's also coupled with the strange claim that Russia is peace like and that there is no need for a NATO defense pact (which Putin and his Right wing pals talk about the countries they need to take back next should they win in Ukraine).

Most interesting is their projection that Ukraine is not really independent because it is "in NATO's pocket" and that therefore it needs to be in Russia's pocket instead. This tells us that Russia still believes in the old Soviet idea that other countries are either vassals or enemies.

As I have pointed out before, the Russian economy is about the size of Italy's, spread out over a much larger population. It's standard of living is a bit below Kazakhstan. It's main economy is based on gas and oil reserves, whose prices fluctuate in the world market. Unlike other oil economies (like even Saudi Arabia!), they are not really investing their oil profits to develop a non oil based industrial economy. Instead they flush billions down the toilet of trying to maintain a massive army that they don't need. In the 1990's, they talked about joining NATO themselves and even showed interest in joining the EU. Unfortunately they didn't. Now, money cascades out of the country into foreign banks and the interior of the country is dominated by non-elected strong men. Putin is (currently) the strongest, but since Russia is not an effective democracy, there is no telling who might replace him should he, say, fall out of a window by accident. One could argue that when the Soviet Union was defending "socialism" as a system against capitalism, they had a reason to be a "super power". But now they have nothing to offer in that regard to the world other than being "anti-Western", whatever that means. Meanwhile, the countries they are claiming as partners (especially India and China) are trying very hard to develop export economies integrated into world goods and financial markets.

Russia under Putin has already made a pariah of itself, even before their recent aggression. And should it somehow beat Ukraine, it's only going to make things worse. Russia does not have an economic plan nor does it have a social plan.
 
It's interesting to watch the Putin apologists zig zag about NATO. They seem to think that NATO is a plot to invade Russia and nothing else. They think that the war in Ukraine was a NATO plot against Russia. Russia claims this, of course, because part of the "rebuild the Soviet Union" thing is the reestablishment of the Cold War and the creation of an enemy.

This is coupled with the claim that NATO is weak (shades of Trump!), that the West is unwarlike and unprepared (except when operating in Third World countries), that the US is "deindustrialized" (which makes on wonder what it is spending its massive military budget on). It's also coupled with the strange claim that Russia is peace like and that there is no need for a NATO defense pact (which Putin and his Right wing pals talk about the countries they need to take back next should they win in Ukraine).

Most interesting is their projection that Ukraine is not really independent because it is "in NATO's pocket" and that therefore it needs to be in Russia's pocket instead. This tells us that Russia still believes in the old Soviet idea that other countries are either vassals or enemies.

As I have pointed out before, the Russian economy is about the size of Italy's, spread out over a much larger population. It's standard of living is a bit below Kazakhstan. It's main economy is based on gas and oil reserves, whose prices fluctuate in the world market. Unlike other oil economies (like even Saudi Arabia!), they are not really investing their oil profits to develop a non oil based industrial economy. Instead they flush billions down the toilet of trying to maintain a massive army that they don't need. In the 1990's, they talked about joining NATO themselves and even showed interest in joining the EU. Unfortunately they didn't. Now, money cascades out of the country into foreign banks and the interior of the country is dominated by non-elected strong men. Putin is (currently) the strongest, but since Russia is not an effective democracy, there is no telling who might replace him should he, say, fall out of a window by accident. One could argue that when the Soviet Union was defending "socialism" as a system against capitalism, they had a reason to be a "super power". But now they have nothing to offer in that regard to the world other than being "anti-Western", whatever that means. Meanwhile, the countries they are claiming as partners (especially India and China) are trying very hard to develop export economies integrated into world goods and financial markets.

Russia under Putin has already made a pariah of itself, even before their recent aggression. And should it somehow beat Ukraine, it's only going to make things worse. Russia does not have an economic plan nor does it have a social plan.
Kazakhstan. Has a good standard of living so that comparison is a bit strange Landed in Astana once and loads of Scots disembarked, They were working in the oil industry there.
 
Not sure DeSantis will be any better tbh
I don't think that any of the other candidates (not many declared yet) for the GOP Nomination could be anywhere near as bad as Trump. (but I find it hard to understand US Politics)

DeSantis recently described the War as a 'territorial conflict' and suggested that supporting Ua is not vital to US Interests. That's worrying and a big departure from GOP Foreign Policy.

It's back to appealing to the Beer Track vs the Wine Track. In simple terms - the Thickos vs the Educated (the 3rd level educated electorate.) [this is a satirical site, lol]

Trump has a huge level of support from GOP Thickos and a big field would be to his advantage as it would split the educated GOP voters. (Mitt Romney has warned about such a scenario)

DeSantis is on a tightrope in this - Trump is pitching to the Thickos that WW3 (nuclear melt down) is inevitable unless he gets back to the White House so DeSantis thinks that he has to counter Trump, to some extent. So he's presenting a less hawkish/interventionist approach to US Foreign Policy.

Once again Trump is setting the Agenda in GOP Politics and the traditional leadership (Mitch McConnell wing) can do nothing about it.

It's delivering a really bad message to Ru & China

I wouldn't rule out Trump winning the GOP nomination but I'd Biden (even at 82) soundly defeating Trump (based on mid terms). No idea if he would defeat a different GOP Presidential Candidate. Other posters will have a better handle on all this
 
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Kazakhstan. Has a good standard of living so that comparison is a bit strange Landed in Astana once and loads of Scots disembarked, They were working in the oil industry there.
I’m sure that Kazakhstan is a lovely place. My point is that it was a peripheral place in the Soviet empire compared to its European possessions and especially with Russia itself. Yet it has surpassed Russia in standard of living.

Moscow and St Petersburg are nice modern places (as the trolls like to point out) but Russia has always and forever put its comfort and cultural resources into these cities. This doesn’t help the millions without effective running water in other parts of the empire. But again, Russia is behind the modern world overall and it is taking its capital and putting it into an army of conquest rather than investing it in a larger productive economy like ever other former socialist country has done and is doing. And this is not to mention the billions siphoned off by their traitors into Western bank accounts.

Putin seems to like to tell the proles that he is just trying to take back what’s rightfully theirs. But this is both a war of conquest and a war of pillage. Russia can’t/won’t outcompete anyone, so their going for conquest and pissing in the pool instead.
 
Speaking of China, what's going on over there, over the last few months and apparently after their excessive Covid shut downs, a whole lot of Western companies that had facilities in China have moved to other countries such as Malaysia etc.
Now the massive container ports over there are full up with empty shipping containers and workers are only working 2/3 days a week.
It's good, at one level, that China is facing challenges in it's economy.

It has to be very concerned about Western Sanctions if it supplies lethal military aid to Ru.

Ru hasn't been crippled by sanctions yet because its been able to divert it's oil and gas to allies China & India. China is more vulnerable.

Personally I'll never again buy a Chinese or Indian product or service. I try to avoid products of companies that don't support sanctions eg Kerry Group
It's a very small action but it's like voting, you can't complain if you don't walk the walk
 
Vlad & Shoigu (separately) in TV reports seen visiting military kit manufacturers

Asking industry to double output.

Vlad in camera close up, repeating the line that Russia is fighting to survive.

Lots of Russian's will buy into this.

The solution is unlikely to come from within Ru. - It looks like a decisive military win is needed
 
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