Analytics in Football - Official Thread

[Nollaig O Muracu]

They'd want to get a lot tougher on interference with the keeper. Specifically the holding of keepers arms and backing into them when they are attempting to palm balls over.

Its getting ridiculous.

I can see a rule change along the lines of only two or less players allowed in the 6 yard box until a kick is taken being introduced.

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

I can see a rule change along the lines of only two or less players allowed in the 6 yard box until a kick is taken being introduced.

GAA square ball just for set pieces might be interesting. Difficult to police though and would probably only make for further VAR controversy.

 

[Philby]

They'd want to get a lot tougher on interference with the keeper. Specifically the holding of keepers arms and backing into them when they are attempting to palm balls over.

Its getting ridiculous.

Fully agree.

Really not sure how we've gone from the established norm being "any contact with the keeper tends to get called as a foul" to the sanctioned free-for-all we seem to have these days.

 

[Tyrone Biggums]

Fully agree.

Really not sure how we've gone from the established norm being "any contact with the keeper tends to get called as a foul" to the sanctioned free-for-all we seem to have these days.

 

[Herbert]

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[Philby]

I was thinking something similar to the guy below.

It would take a brave manager (and it might backfire) but the crux of the problem is that boxes (esp. 6 yard box) are increasingly becoming jam full of bodies (defenders as well as attackers) - resulting in it being increasingly hard for keepers to come for the ball & get it cleanly.

If a side cherry-picked 3-4 guys (with pace & final third nous) and placed them strategically - one each side wide on the half-way line. Another on the centre-spot and a 4th goal-side sitting right next to Rice.

What would risk-averse guys like Arteta do?

He'd sh1t himself. At the very least he'd mark them man-for-man. Probably with an extra body floating central too.

Suddenly you have ~8 fewer bodies in the box when a corner swings in. If you've got a mobile & commanding keeper along with your 5-6 best guys aerially maybe that swings the balance back to the defending side a bit?

It'd likely work very well initially but then get a bit cat & mouse, once the set-piece coaches have time to figure out counter-strategies.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2018786814618972259

 

[Philby]

is there any data to suggest the amount of goals from outside the box has declined in English top flight football in recent years ?

A great read on this topic.

https://archive.ph/zCIXz

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

Gotta love inverted xG

 

[Philby]

The variance monster is coming for Villa at an unfortunate time.

Was Aston Villa’s Dip in Form Inevitable According to xG? | Opta Analyst

Aston Villa's form has dipped in recent weeks, which perhaps isn't all that surprising when you look at their xG numbers across the season.

theanalyst.com

 

[Cloudy O'Ranieri]

The variance monster is coming for Villa at an unfortunate time.

Was Aston Villa’s Dip in Form Inevitable According to xG? | Opta Analyst

Aston Villa's form has dipped in recent weeks, which perhaps isn't all that surprising when you look at their xG numbers across the season.

theanalyst.com

View attachment 48400

View attachment 48401

Who could have known?

tHeY'rE dOiNg ThInGs ThAt Xg CaN't AcCoUnT fOr!

They might have time to take this on the chin and still cling to fifth.