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xvis
09-12-2008, 02:29 PM
http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/45278000/gif/_45278104_champ_leag ue_paths_466.gif

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/europe/7737736.stm

The Premier League's big four have made such a habit out of challenging for Champions League glory that it is almost impossible to imagine one of them missing out on the tournament altogether.

Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea have contested Europe's blue riband club competition every year since 2003, reaching at least one final apiece since 2005.

But, under changes to the qualifying rounds that come into effect next season, the team finishing fourth in the Premier League could be in for a rude awakening.
Liverpool needed a last-gasp goal against Standard Liege just to come through qualifying in August and now that process is likely to be even more difficult.

Not for the first time, Uefa president Michel Platini is looking to shake things up.
Platini wants to reduce the number of non-champions from countries such as England, Spain and Italy and increase the number of champions from the likes of Bulgaria, Slovakia and Latvia in the competition.

A qualifying path will, therefore, be reserved solely for non-champions from the higher-ranked countries - and that could see England's fourth team pitted against the fourth team from Spain or Italy.

"We introduced this new format after discussions with the clubs but of course there will be losers," Uefa's general secretary David Taylor told BBC Sport.
"To the big clubs who may miss out I would say tough luck. This is a sporting competition and there is no guarantee of success.
"This is good for European football because we are refreshing the competition and we will have increased interest with clubs who have possibly never played in the Champions League before."


Platini has not had everything his own way - the teams finishing third in England, Spain and Italy are to gain direct entry to the group stage - but he thinks the alterations will help rejuvenate the competition and improve the quality of teams and leagues across Europe.

If one of England's big four did fail to qualify for the Champions League the potential financial and sporting ramifications do not bear thinking about, even more so at a time of a global economic crisis.
Clubs contesting the Champions League proper earn between £4.6m-£20.4m, a share of the £237.31m television pot and matchday income, which for each of the big four is about £3m per match.
From Uefa alone, 2008 winners Manchester United earned almost £42m and runners-up Chelsea more than £36m.


"Because of the massive amounts of money at stake, the English quartet all budget to reach the group stage every year and if they don't get there, they are in huge trouble," said football analyst Alex Fynn.
"To do well domestically is an end in itself but it is also a means to an even bigger end, which is the Champions League."
Uefa believes any hostility from the clubs is a small price to pay for making the Champions League more exciting.

Taylor points to the way 2008 Champions League debutants Cluj-Napoca (Romania), Anorthosis Famagusta (Cyprus) and BATE Borisov (Belarus) have spiced up the competition.

The worry is that the changes will prove purely cosmetic and critics argue that the competition has become too predictable before the knockout rounds begin each February.
The eight teams originally regarded as favourites to win their groups this season have lost just four of 40 matches played.
"Competitive balance is a concern and the trend in general is on the decline in all competitions," said Alex Phillips, Uefa's head of professional football services. "It's something we consider closely when making changes to the Champions League."

Phillips's boss Taylor, though, concedes that the inclusion of more champions from lower-ranked countries could result in the big clubs continuing to have it their own way.

When the potential changes were originally examined by Uefa's strategy council, there was support for the adoption of a total knockout format, which was how the European Cup was contested until 1991.
Unfortunately for the purists, most clubs want or need the income generated by a guaranteed minimum number of games and so, for now, the Champions League will retain its current format.

"These things are all a little bit cyclical and I don't think we see dominance from one particular club or country for a long period of time," said Taylor.
"There are five big football countries in Europe and they will always provide the bulk of the winners.
Platini wants no more than three teams per country in the Champions League
"But there are other countries, like the Netherlands and Portugal, who from time to time can produce clubs who can win tournaments and we have to continue to allow that possibility.
"The changes from 2009 increase the chances of that happening and anything we can do to that extent helps."

Fynn, for one, applauds the changes, arguing that the big clubs have had things their own way for far too long.
"In many sports people talk about the podium but the podium only has room for three," he said.
"Finishing first, second or third in a big league should give you right of entry into the group stage.
"Likewise if you finish first or second in a smaller league, or as champions in the smallest leagues.
"But fourth? A fourth place was only introduced when Uefa were trying to prevent the big clubs from forming their own break-away competition."



***



looking at the path, there are 5 places for the little guys, with three of them champions of Greece, Switzerland and Belgium as things stand ..so really two little guys. But that's two little guys guaranteed each year.

I'd have preferred if the third place teams were subjected to a bit more of that risk rather than automatic qualification.

Rebel Yell
09-12-2008, 02:32 PM
badly needed a shake-up anyway - the current league stages are not that far removed from the 'excitement' an early carling Cup round generates...

afeencalleddan
09-12-2008, 02:46 PM
This could be fucking excellent for ANVIL.

Eoin
09-12-2008, 02:49 PM
Great news IMO. The quality of the earlier stages has been mostly rubbish since they started letting 4 teams from the big countries in.

It was much better when there was just the champions IMO.

afeencalleddan
09-12-2008, 02:53 PM
Great news IMO. The quality of the earlier stages has been mostly rubbish since they started letting 4 teams from the big countries in.

It was much better when there was just the champions IMO.:confused:

Did you read it properly. If anything the competition is becoming more elitist.

Edmund Blackwater
09-12-2008, 04:22 PM
It's one step forward and a stumble backwards imo.
Obviously, subjecting the 4th place team to a more rigorous qualifying campaign is good news, but remember how easy Liverpool had it the year they were let back in as holders. InterCabletotoBurger AndChips or somethibg were one of the teams they had to play. As long as there's no seeding in the qualifiers though, it's a step in the right direction.

I would have liked to have seen the 3rd placed teams entered at the 2nd qualifying phase and the runners up in at the final qualifying phase though. leaving only the champions as automatic qualifiers.
maybe in time...

Edmund Blackwater
09-12-2008, 04:43 PM
Actually, hang on, I've just read the article that goes with the diagram (which i misinterpreted), it's not even a step forward. It's a cop out.

Eoin
09-12-2008, 04:47 PM
:confused:

Did you read it properly. If anything the competition is becoming more elitist.

I only read the first couple of paragraphs tbh.

Just read it again properly there, top 3 go straight into the group stages, fuck sake.

Eoin
09-12-2008, 04:48 PM
Actually, hang on, I've just read the article that goes with the diagram (which i misinterpreted), it's not even a step forward. It's a cop out.

Yeah, I was confused by that as well.

RonnyB
09-12-2008, 05:00 PM
Actually, hang on, I've just read the article that goes with the diagram (which i misinterpreted), it's not even a step forward. It's a cop out.

Yup looks that way alright.

I still believe the theory I suggest a few weeks ago would be in the best interests of the competition but with less games UEFA would apply it. Also it would still contain the odd shock result & an appropriate award for the team(s) who manage it.

afeencalleddan
09-12-2008, 05:00 PM
InterCabletotoBurger AndChipsYou know NOTHING about the league of wales.

It was Total Network Solutions or The New Saints as they are now known.

Either way it's TNS.

ebenezer
09-12-2008, 05:05 PM
All hocus pocus.

Back to the old days for my good self.

The CHAMPIONS of each European nation battle it out in a two legged knockout system.

Then it could be classed as the Champions League.

KD Langer
09-12-2008, 05:08 PM
All hocus pocus.

Back to the old days for my good self.

The CHAMPIONS of each European League battle it out in a two legged knockout system.

Then it could be classed as the Champions League.


i agree eb. never gonna happen though.

Eoin
09-12-2008, 05:17 PM
All hocus pocus.

Back to the old days for my good self.

The CHAMPIONS of each European nation battle it out in a two legged knockout system.

Then it could be classed as the Champions League.

For once you speak some sense.

Coin
10-12-2008, 10:30 AM
All hocus pocus.

Back to the old days for my good self.

The CHAMPIONS of each European nation battle it out in a two legged knockout system.

Then it could be classed as the Champions League.
Wouldn't it have to go back to being a cup then?

youghalboi
10-12-2008, 11:20 AM
It would be fantastic to go back to the two legged system, but the clubs will never allow that to happen, the TV companies certainly wouldnt pay anywhere near as much money because they wouldnt have the same amount of games but it would be a hell of a lot more exciting for the fans

STEVIEG
10-12-2008, 11:31 AM
The CHAMPIONS of each European nation battle it out in a two legged knockout system.

Then it could be classed as the Champions League.

It would be a bit boring though all the same, especially in the modern era

though as a United fan i'd say having to beat only one or two of Bayern, Inter or Madrid would be a lot easier than what they have ahead of them in spring

Coin
10-12-2008, 12:34 PM
At the start of this years Champions league, the following, I would say, had some shot at winning it (in no particular order):
Chelsea, Inter, Barcelona, Liverpool, Man Utd, Villareal, Bayern, Lyon, Arsenal, Real Madrid.
These clubs could have been given a small outside chance, given a bit of form and a decent draw: Roma, Atletico, Fiorentina, Juventus, Porto.

Argue away with individual choices if you like, and I don't want to hear that XYZ are shit, and I know 2 or 3 teams are most likely get it done, but we've seen some unlikely winners and finalists in the last 5 years. Add some, remove some, but you probably come out with about 14 teams with some sort of shot at winning it.

If it was champions only, the following teams would have been in with a shout:
Man Utd, Inter, Real Madrid, Bayern, Lyon, and Porto with an outside shot. 6 teams, maybe 7 if Chelsea were in because Man Utd would have qualified as winners. They'd be up against 50 others that are mostly just going to be fodder.

Aggregate results of those 7 against other league winners in their group:

Chelsea 2 - 1 Cluj
Inter 4 - 3 Anorthosis
Man Utd 4 - 1 Celtic
Man Utd 3 - 0 AaB (1 game)
Porto 2 - 2 Dynamo Kiev
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Zenit (1 game)
Real Madrid 3 - 0 BATE

Bayern and Lyon are in each others group and there's no other league winner in with them. The margins above aren't huge, but a telling stat is the number of games won by those other league winners against the 7 I gave above: 1 out of 12 - Kiev over Porto and Porto would have won on away goals.

They are the best of the other league winners, having managed to scrape through the pre-qualifying rounds. In a 7 round knockout cup, you would expect the Kievs, Celtics and Cluj type teams to at least make the last 16, where they would probably almost all be knocked out, depending on the draw.

Depending on the draw, maybe 6 of the 7 are going to make the last 8. If the draw goes wrong and good teams get paired early, you could end up with something like Bayern, Inter, Chelsea, Porto, Cluj, Anorthosis, AaB and BATE in the last 8. Yes, there's the "fairytale little team going up against the giants", but frankly, that's only interesting if the little team has actually beaten someone of value along the way. Getting there because of a lucky draw means they are just going to get hammered at some stage. This would be the quarter finals of the competition that is supposed to decide the best team in Europe, and I don't want someone there who would struggle against West Brom. Those spots should be earned. You can't seed the earlier rounds either, because the first two rounds would be a waste of time for the top 8 or 10.

Take away the "Champions" from the title and call it the European league - I don't care really, but to decide the best team in Europe, you should at least start out with decent spread of good teams.

STEVIEG
10-12-2008, 12:37 PM
Yup, you've just said more-or-less what i wanted to say but much better